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		<title>7 New Year&#8217;s Resolutions to Boost Your Success!</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/7-new-years-resolutions-to-boost-your-success/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 19:45:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Power Tools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business development efforts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resolutions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[workaholic]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[If you want to be the best in your field, here are some things you can do that can put you ahead of the pack: 1. Ask big questions. If you only ask practical, logistical, small questions, you&#8217;ll just get &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/7-new-years-resolutions-to-boost-your-success/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1386&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you want to be the best in your field, here are some things you can do that can put you ahead of the pack:</p>
<p><strong><em>1. Ask big questions. </em></strong><em><br />
If you only ask practical, logistical, small questions, you&#8217;ll just get the small answers that will keep your business <span style="text-decoration:underline;">going</span>, but not <span style="text-decoration:underline;">growing</span>. Pursue the big questions: &#8220;What&#8217;s a better way to approach this? How can I change our business for the better?&#8221; Bigger questions demand bigger answers. And those lead to bigger successes.</p>
<p></em><strong>2. Get a mentor who&#8217;s different from you.</strong><br />
You want a mentor who can open you up to new and different ideas and approaches. You want someone who supports what you&#8217;re doing, but who might come from a different business area, like manufacturing. They&#8217;ll contribute new perspective, frank insights and innovative feedback.</p>
<p><strong><em>3. Be true to yourself.</em></strong><em><br />
You can&#8217;t lead if you&#8217;re always trying to act the way you think others would like you to. You can&#8217;t please everybody, but if you simply be yourself, you&#8217;ll find the right people will be drawn to you.</em></p>
<p><strong>4. Focus on the mutual benefit. </strong><br />
If you want clients to be loyal to you, be loyal to them. Don&#8217;t put your business development efforts ahead of serving the business you already have. The same goes for employees. If you want them to work hard for you, work hard for them. Lead by example.</p>
<p><strong><em>5. Let go of bad clients. </em></strong><em><br />
It&#8217;s true, 80% of your time is taken up by 20% of your clients. That&#8217;s OK if they&#8217;re profitable, but if not, now&#8217;s the time to cut your losses. Bottom line, it will give you more time to make more money.</em></p>
<p><strong>6. Do some hands-on volunteering. </strong><br />
It&#8217;s important to support your favorite causes financially, but it&#8217;s equally important to roll up your sleeves and actively help. The giving you actually experience is good for your head and good for your heart. And that&#8217;s the real foundation for success.</p>
<p><strong><em>7. Don&#8217;t turn into a workaholic. </em></strong><em><br />
The goal of successful people is to be productive and efficient, not to work long hours.</em> <em>Working all the time actually makes it easy to be inefficient. Long hours do not represent a good work ethic; efficiency does. Plus to succeed, it&#8217;s important to be well-rounded; spend time with family, friends and personal interests</em>.</p>
<p>Make these resolutions and stick with them. They&#8217;re great ways to improve yourself and your business&#8230;. Enjoy a great month!</p>
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		<title>Inside Lending for the week of January 23, 2012</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-january-23-2012/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 15:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Inside Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Tip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[confidence index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[margaret lee runbeck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national association of home builders]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;&#8220;Happiness is not a state to arrive at, but a manner of traveling.&#8221; &#8211;Margaret Lee Runbeck INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE&#8230;Well, we can all make our way with a bit of a smile on our &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-january-23-2012/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1377&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;</em></strong><em>&#8220;Happiness is not a state to arrive at, but a manner of traveling.&#8221; &#8211;Margaret Lee Runbeck</em><br />
<strong><em><br />
INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE</em></strong>&#8230;Well, we can all make our way with a bit of a smile on our faces, courtesy of the latest Housing Starts numbers. At first blush, the December report seemed disappointing, down 4% for the month. But <strong><em>starts overall are UP 24.9% from a year ago</em></strong> and December&#8217;s drop was all from multi-family starts, very volatile month-to-month. <strong><em>Single-family starts were UP 4.4% for the month and UP 11.6% for the year.</em></strong> No wonder <strong><em>the National Association of Home Builders confidence index went to 25, its highest reading since 2007.</em></strong></p>
<p><em>For those who still couldn&#8217;t put on a happy face, Friday&#8217;s data should have done the trick. <strong>Existing Home Sales were UP 5% in December, their third consecutive gain, to their highest level since January 2011. The inventory of existing homes is down 21% from last year and the months&#8217; supply dropped to 6.2</strong>, the lowest level since April 2006. For all of 2011, sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condos and co-ops rose 1.7%, to 4.26 million units.<br />
<strong><br />
BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK</strong>&#8230; There are so many variables in business, you can&#8217;t know exactly how you will reach your goal. So what matters most is your determination to get there. </em></p>
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		<title>This Week’s Financial Forecast</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/this-weeks-financial-forecast-19/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 15:35:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economic Impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chain deflator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[durable goods orders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic indicator calendar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leading economic indicators]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michigan consumer sentiment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[PENDING HOME SALES, NEW HOME SALES, THE FED, THE GDP&#8230; This week isn&#8217;t missing much in the way of interesting topics. December Pending Home Sales come Wednesday, forecast down a bit after a November gain. The Fed&#8217;s FOMC Rate Decision &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/this-weeks-financial-forecast-19/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1379&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>PENDING HOME SALES, NEW HOME SALES, THE FED, THE GDP&#8230;</em></strong> This week isn&#8217;t missing much in the way of interesting topics. <strong><em>December Pending Home Sales </em></strong>come Wednesday, forecast down a bit after a November gain. The Fed&#8217;s <strong><em>FOMC Rate Decision</em></strong> shouldn&#8217;t change anything, but for the first time, Fed member&#8217;s outlooks on interest rates will be released. Following this will be Chairman Bernanke&#8217;s press conference and <em>that</em> could be interesting.</p>
<p><strong><em>December New Home Sales</em></strong><em> happen Thursday, projected to inch up a bit. Friday we get how the overall economy did in Q4, with the<strong> Advanced GDP estimate.</strong> Gross Domestic Product is expected to climb from an anemic 1.8% to a more acceptable 3.1%. </em></p>
<h4>&gt;&gt; The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar</h4>
<p>Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.</p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar for the Week of Jan 23 – Jan 27</strong></p>
<table width="592" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="60"><strong> Date</strong></td>
<td width="34"><strong>Time (ET)</strong></td>
<td width="131"><strong>Release</strong></td>
<td width="39"><strong>For</strong></td>
<td width="69"><strong>Consensus</strong></td>
<td width="46"><strong>Prior</strong></td>
<td width="81"><strong>Impact</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>W<br />
Jan 25</td>
<td>10:00</td>
<td>Pending Home Sales</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>-3.0%</td>
<td>7.3%</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>W<br />
Jan 25</td>
<td>10:30</td>
<td>Crude Inventories</td>
<td>1/21</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td>-3.438M</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>W<br />
Jan 25</td>
<td>12:30</td>
<td>FOMC Rate Decision</td>
<td>1/25</td>
<td>0%-0.25%</td>
<td>0%-0.25%</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 26</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Initial Unemployment Claims</td>
<td>1/21</td>
<td>375K</td>
<td>352K</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 26</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Continuing Unemployment Claims</td>
<td>1/14</td>
<td>3.550M</td>
<td>3.432M</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 26</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Durable Goods Orders</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>2.0%</td>
<td>3.7%</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 26</td>
<td>10:00</td>
<td>New Home Sales</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>322K</td>
<td>315K</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 26</td>
<td>10:00</td>
<td>Leading Economic Indicators (LEI)</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 27</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>GDP-Adv.</td>
<td>Q4</td>
<td>3.1%</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 27</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>GDP Chain Deflator-Adv.</td>
<td>Q4</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 27</td>
<td>09:55</td>
<td>U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment-Final</td>
<td>Jan</td>
<td>74.2</td>
<td>74.0</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h4>&gt;&gt; Federal Reserve Watch</h4>
<p><em>Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months&#8230;</em> Virtually all the experts say the Fed Funds Rate will stay at its super low level coming out of this week&#8217;s FOMC meeting. <em>Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.</em></p>
<p><strong>Current Fed Funds Rate: </strong><strong>0%–0.25%</strong></p>
<table width="254" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="162"><strong>After FOMC meeting on:</strong></td>
<td width="73"><strong>Consensus </strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="162">Jan 25</td>
<td width="73">0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mar 13</td>
<td>0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Apr 25</td>
<td>0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>Probability of change from current policy</strong>:</p>
<table width="255" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="159"><strong>After FOMC meeting on:</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>Consensus </strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="159">Jan 25</td>
<td width="75">     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="159">Mar 13</td>
<td width="75">     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Apr 25</td>
<td>     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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		<title>The Week in Review</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/the-week-in-review-26/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 15:06:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economic Impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Core CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation front]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[initial unemployment claims]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investor sentiment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[major market indexes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national average mortgage rates]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[HAPPY NEW YEAR SO FAR&#8230;All three major market indexes ended ahead again for the week, chalking up very nice gains for the very young year&#8211;the Dow UP 4.1%, the S&#38;P 500 UP 4.6% and the Nasdaq UP 7.0% thus far. &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/the-week-in-review-26/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1378&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>HAPPY NEW YEAR SO FAR&#8230;</em></strong>All three major market indexes ended ahead again for the week, chalking up very nice gains for the very young year&#8211;the Dow UP 4.1%, the S&amp;P 500 UP 4.6% and the Nasdaq UP 7.0% thus far. <strong><em>Investor sentiment is generally a good leading indicator for the economy, but the recovery is still slow and the economic reports continue to deliver mixed messages.</em></strong></p>
<p><em>Industrial Production, up 0.4% in December, fell short of expectations. Yet two regional manufacturing indexes did better for the month: the Empire State and the Philadelphia Fed. On the inflation front, producer prices were down 0.1%, though Core prices excluding food and energy were up 0.3%. The Consumer Price Index was unchanged, but Core CPI went up 0.1%.<strong> </strong>The best news? <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Initial Unemployment Claims fell to 352,000, their lowest level since April 2008.</strong></em></p>
<p>For the week, the Dow ended UP 2.4%, at 12720; the S&amp;P 500 closed UP 2.0%, to 1315; and the Nasdaq gained 2.8%, to 2787.</p>
<p>With stocks rallying, heavy selling in the bond market sent prices southward. Investors were also calmed by hopes of a Greek debt deal, though that hasn&#8217;t happened yet. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week down .87 to $102.21.<strong><em> Freddie Mac&#8217;s survey of conforming mortgages showed national average mortgage rates virtually unchanged, staying at record low levels for another week.</em></strong></p>
<p>DID YOU KNOW?<em>&#8230;This week&#8217;s Advanced GDP number will be revised twice, with next month&#8217;s Preliminary GDP and then Final GDP a month later. These revisions can impact financial markets.</em></p>
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		<title>Could a No-Contract Plan Cut Your Cell Phone Bill?</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/could-a-no-contract-plan-cut-your-cell-phone-bill/</link>
		<comments>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/could-a-no-contract-plan-cut-your-cell-phone-bill/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jan 2012 15:03:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Consumer's Corner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell phone bill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[no contract plan]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s estimated that consumers waste an average of almost $350 a year on their cell phone services. People typically overestimate the voice minutes and text messages they need and underestimate their data usage. Service plans are complex and carriers offer inexpensive or &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/13/could-a-no-contract-plan-cut-your-cell-phone-bill/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1373&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s estimated that consumers waste an average of almost $350 a year on their cell phone services. People typically <em>overestimate</em> the voice minutes and text messages they need and <em>underestimate</em> their data usage. Service plans are complex and carriers offer inexpensive or free phones to entice you into a two-year contract. But for some people, switching to a no-contract plan may be cheaper. Here&#8217;s what to consider:</p>
<p><strong>1. Do you need the benefits of a contract plan? </strong>If you like a wide range of services and want to choose from a variety of phones at low or no cost, the two-year contract is still best. It may also be the most economical for multiple lines under a family plan.</p>
<p><strong>2. Decide what you <em>don&#8217;t</em> need.</strong> A no-contract plan may be best if you can live without lots of phone choices, the fastest network speed or the biggest coverage. Review the services you use in your current plan.</p>
<p><strong>3. Pick a payment arrangement.</strong> Prepaid no-contract plans cost a flat amount for a month of service, or they charge by the day or minute, deducting from a preset balance. They&#8217;re great if you only use your cell for emergencies or want to limit a child&#8217;s use. You may also find no-contract plans that bill you every month with network speeds and phone choices like the contract plans.</p>
<p><strong>4. Look at the downside. </strong>With no-contract plans, carriers can boost rates and change terms, or you could lose your phone number if you forget to reload a prepaid account. There may also be extra activation and daily access charges, and if phone rebates are offered, they may require you to stay with the service for a time.</p>
<p><strong>5. Factor in the phone cost. </strong>Compare the higher phone cost of a no-contract plan with the money you&#8217;re saving each month. The savings may pay for the phone in a few months and after that, it&#8217;s money in your pocket!</p>
<p><strong>6. See about the data service. </strong>Some no-contract plans offer unlimited e-mail and Web surfing in all-in-one plans for voice, text and data with a low monthly cost.</p>
<p><strong>7. Check out the coverage. </strong>Some no-contract carriers are owned by the big names and use their networks. But others use smaller networks that might have spotty coverage and charge extra for roaming.</p>
<p><strong>8. Find out how to switch.  </strong>Most carriers charge a prorated fee when you cancel a contract early. Compare this to the savings from your new no-contract plan. If you still need to stay until the end of your contract, see if you can drop extra services, like insurance or carrier apps. When you do switch, plan on not having service for a few hours. <strong><br />
</strong><br />
P.S.  With today&#8217;s mortgage rates at historic new lows and the most affordable home prices ever, many people are upsizing, downsizing or refinancing. Remember, we&#8217;re always here to answer any questions&#8230;. Have a great day!</p>
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		<title>10 Tips to Make Your Home Air- and Water-Tight</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/12/10-tips-to-make-your-home-air-and-water-tight/</link>
		<comments>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/12/10-tips-to-make-your-home-air-and-water-tight/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 20:02:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Consumer's Corner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[backer rod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[caulking gun]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy efficient]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foam rod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homeownership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[insulating foam spray]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Caulk creates a flexible seal in cracks, gaps or joints no bigger than 1/4&#8243; to 3/8&#8243; in width. Caulking will seal air leaks, especially around windows and door frames. It also prevents water damage when applied around faucets, water pipes, &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/12/10-tips-to-make-your-home-air-and-water-tight/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1370&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Caulk creates a flexible seal in cracks, gaps or joints no bigger than 1/4&#8243; to 3/8&#8243; in width. Caulking will seal air leaks, especially around windows and door frames. It also prevents water damage when applied around faucets, water pipes, bathtubs and other plumbing fixtures. For larger openings, you can use insulating foam sprays to seal up gaps between siding and masonry or vents. Here are some tips:</p>
<p><em>1. <strong>Clean</strong> all areas to be caulked. Use a putty knife or large screwdriver to remove old caulk and paint and make sure the area is dry.</em></p>
<p><em>2. Hold the caulking gun at a <strong>consistent angle</strong>&#8211;45 degrees to get deep into the crack. You&#8217;re at the correct angle when the caulk goes in immediately as it comes out of the tube.</em></p>
<p><em>3. Apply the caulk in one straight <strong>continuous stream</strong>, without stops and starts.</em></p>
<p><em>4. Avoid bubbles by sending <strong>caulk to the bottom</strong> of the opening.</em></p>
<p><em>5. Make sure the caulk is <strong>sticking to both sides</strong> of the crack.</em></p>
<p><em>6. If caulk oozes out of the crack, <strong>push it back</strong> in with a putty knife.</em></p>
<p><em>7. If the caulk shrinks, <strong>reapply</strong> it, forming a smooth bead that seals the crack completely.</em></p>
<p><em>8. For <strong>windows</strong>, apply caulk to all joints in the frame and to the joint between frame and wall.</em></p>
<p><em>9. If the crack is deep, use a <strong>&#8220;backer rod&#8221;</strong> &#8212; a round foam rod sold by the roll in various diameters. Pick one slightly bigger than the gap. Cut the rod and press into the gap so it&#8217;s just below the surface. Then caulk on top of it.</em></p>
<p><em>10. For bigger gaps, use an <strong>insulating foam spray</strong> you can buy in a hardware or home supply store. It dries like styrofoam and can be painted if necessary.</em><strong><br />
</strong><br />
P.S.  With today&#8217;s mortgage rates at historic new lows and the most affordable home prices ever, many people are upsizing, downsizing or refinancing. <strong>Remember, we&#8217;re always here to answer any questions&#8230;. </strong>Have a great day!</p>
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		<title>Inside Lending for the week of January 2, 2012</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-january-2-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-january-2-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 16:46:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Inside Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national association of realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pending home sales index]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;&#8220;Of all the things you wear, your expression is the most important.&#8221; &#8211;Anonymous INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE&#8230;It&#8217;s good to show your best face to the world as the new year begins (see Business Tip &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-january-2-2012/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1367&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;</em></strong><em>&#8220;Of all the things you wear, your expression is the most important.&#8221; &#8211;Anonymous</em><br />
<strong><em><br />
INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE</em></strong>&#8230;It&#8217;s good to show your best face to the world as the new year begins (see<em> Business Tip of the Week,</em> below) and that just got easier to do. <strong><em>Last week&#8217;s Pending Home Sales index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) went UP 7.3% in November, hitting its highest level since April 2010!</em></strong> And that earlier reading was artificially boosted, as buyers rushed to beat the deadline for last year&#8217;s home buyer tax credit.</p>
<p><em>The NAR&#8217;s chief economist commented, &#8220;Housing affordability conditions are at a record high and there is pent-up demand from buyers who&#8217;ve been on the sidelines&#8230;. <strong>The sustained rise in contract activity suggests that closed existing-home sales&#8230;should continue to improve in the months ahead.&#8221; </strong>The S&amp;P Case-Shiller index for October showed minor price drops in 19 of the 20 surveyed metro areas, but t<strong>he index was UP 1.9% from its post-crisis low in March 2011.</strong><br />
<strong><br />
BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK</strong>&#8230;The new year is a great time to remember that successful people think positive. They&#8217;re not unrealistic, but they do see the positive side of an opportunity and firmly believe in their ability to reach their goals.</em></p>
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		<title>The Week in Review</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/the-week-in-review-25/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 16:44:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economic Impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[american airlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fixed mortgage rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[initial jobless claims]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[GOODBYE, 2011!&#8230;The wild year on Wall Street ended not with a bang but a whimper, as stocks slumped slightly for the week on very light trading. Volatility was the theme for 2011, although when all was said and done, the &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/the-week-in-review-25/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1363&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>GOODBYE, 2011!&#8230;</em></strong>The wild year on Wall Street ended not with a bang but a whimper, as stocks slumped slightly for the week on very light trading. <strong>Volatility was the theme for 2011, although when all was said and done, the broadly based S&amp;P 500 stock index ended dead flat for the year.</strong> This reflects how many investors view the economy: recovering so slowly, its growth slope is practically horizontal. The year&#8217;s volatility was echoed in a 140-point drop Wednesday followed by a 136-point surge the very next day.</p>
<p><em>The week&#8217;s positive economic news included the Pending Home Sales gain covered above and <strong>initial</strong> <strong>jobless claims staying below 400,000 for another week.</strong> But none of this &#8220;good&#8221; news was very terrific, so <strong>economic emotions were held in check by the usual suspects: European debt worries and corporate underperformers.</strong> Sears announced it would close about 100 stores and American Airlines parent AMR Corp., which filed for bankruptcy protection last month, revealed its stock would be delisted from the Big Board.</p>
<p>For the week, the Dow ended down 0.6%, at 12218 but UP 5.5% for the year; the S&amp;P 500 also dipped 0.6%, to 1258 but was unchanged for the year; and the Nasdaq dropped 0.5%, to 2605 and was down 1.8% for the year.</em></p>
<p>Although it was a low volume week all around, the bond market behaved conventionally, prices heading north as stocks drifted south. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week UP .95, at $102.27.<strong><em> According to Freddie Mac&#8217;s weekly survey, national average fixed mortgage rates inched up from the prior week&#8217;s record lows. But they&#8217;re expected to stay in super low territory for awhile.</p>
<p>DID YOU KNOW?</em></strong><em>&#8230;The FOMC Minutes released Tuesday give insight into the decision making process for monetary policy and what the Fed thinks about economic developments inside and outside the U.S.</em></p>
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		<title>This Week’s Financial Forecast</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 16:43:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economic Impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic indicator calendar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC minutes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISM Index]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[MANUFACTURING, SERVICES, FED MINUTES, JOBS&#8230;The markets are closed today in observance of New Year&#8217;s, but the rest of the week is packed with economic data. ISM Manufacturing on Tuesday should remain in expansion territory just like ISM Services on Thursday. &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/this-weeks-financial-forecast-18/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1361&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>MANUFACTURING, SERVICES, FED MINUTES, JOBS&#8230;</em></strong>The markets are closed today in observance of New Year&#8217;s, but the rest of the week is packed with economic data. <strong><em>ISM Manufacturing</em></strong> on Tuesday should remain in expansion territory just like <strong><em>ISM Services</em></strong> on Thursday. Tuesday&#8217;s <strong><em>FOMC Minutes from the Fed&#8217;s December 13 meeting</em></strong> may provide useful insight.</p>
<p><em>But the week&#8217;s highlight will be Friday&#8217;s <strong>December Jobs report.150,000 Nonfarm Payrolls should be added, which won&#8217;t do anything to help the Unemployment Rate, expected to creep back up to 8.7%.</strong></em></p>
<h4>&gt;&gt; The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar</h4>
<p>Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.</p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar for the Week of Jan 2 – Jan 6</strong></p>
<table width="592" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="60"><strong> Date</strong></td>
<td width="34"><strong>Time (ET)</strong></td>
<td width="131"><strong>Release</strong></td>
<td width="39"><strong>For</strong></td>
<td width="69"><strong>Consensus</strong></td>
<td width="46"><strong>Prior</strong></td>
<td width="81"><strong>Impact</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tu<br />
Jan 3</td>
<td>10:00</td>
<td>ISM Index</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>53.4</td>
<td>52.7</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tu<br />
Jan 3</td>
<td>14:00</td>
<td>FOMC Minutes</td>
<td>12/13</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 5</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Initial Unemployment Claims</td>
<td>12/31</td>
<td>375K</td>
<td>381K</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 5</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Continuing Unemployment Claims</td>
<td>12/24</td>
<td>3.620M</td>
<td>3.601M</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 5</td>
<td>09:45</td>
<td>ISM Services</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>53.0</td>
<td>52.0</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Th<br />
Jan 5</td>
<td>11:00</td>
<td>Crude Inventories</td>
<td>12/31</td>
<td>NA</td>
<td>3.899M</td>
<td>Moderate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 6</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Average Workweek</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>34.3</td>
<td>34.3</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 6</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Hourly Earnings</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 6</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Nonfarm Payrolls</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>150K</td>
<td>120K</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>F<br />
Jan 6</td>
<td>08:30</td>
<td>Unemployment Rate</td>
<td>Dec</td>
<td>8.7%</td>
<td>8.6%</td>
<td>HIGH</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h4>&gt;&gt; Federal Reserve Watch</h4>
<p><em>Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months&#8230;</em>The expectation is for the Fed Funds Rate to remain at its rock bottom level well into the future. <em>Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.</em></p>
<p><strong>Current Fed Funds Rate: </strong><strong>0%–0.25%</strong></p>
<table width="254" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="162"><strong>After FOMC meeting on:</strong></td>
<td width="73"><strong>Consensus </strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="162">Jan 25</td>
<td width="73">0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mar 13</td>
<td>0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Apr 25</td>
<td>0%–0.25%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>Probability of change from current policy</strong>:</p>
<table width="255" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="159"><strong>After FOMC meeting on:</strong></td>
<td width="75"><strong>Consensus </strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="159">Jan 25</td>
<td width="75">     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="159">Mar 13</td>
<td width="75">     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Apr 25</td>
<td>     &lt;1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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		<title>Inside Lending for the week of December 27, 2011</title>
		<link>http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2011/12/27/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-december-27-2011/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Dec 2011 19:48:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Bartolini</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Inside Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Tip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[napoleon bonaparte]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national association of realtors]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;&#8220;&#8230;never retreat, never retract&#8230;never admit a mistake.&#8221;&#8211;Napoleon Bonaparte INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE&#8230;Wisely, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) did not follow the diminutive Emperor&#8217;s advice last week, admitting they uncovered some mistakes in the &#8230; <a href="http://amtgroup.wordpress.com/2011/12/27/inside-lending-for-the-week-of-december-27-2011/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=amtgroup.wordpress.com&amp;blog=12866329&amp;post=1356&amp;subd=amtgroup&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em>QUOTE OF THE WEEK&#8230;</em></strong><em>&#8220;&#8230;never retreat, never retract&#8230;never admit a mistake.&#8221;&#8211;Napoleon Bonaparte</em><br />
<strong><em><br />
INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE</em></strong>&#8230;Wisely, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) did <em>not</em> follow the diminutive Emperor&#8217;s advice last week, admitting they uncovered some mistakes in the statistical model used to estimate national Existing Home Sales the past few years. They therefore had to revise those sales down 14%, to a 4.42 million annual rate in November. <strong><em>Nevertheless, Existing Home sales were UP 4% for the month and UP 12% versus a year ago. And the inventory is down 18% versus last year, now at a 7 months&#8217; supply!</em></strong></p>
<p><em>In line with that, <strong>Housing Starts were UP 9.3% for November and UP 24.3% versus a year ago, while Building Permits were UP 5.7% for the month. November New Home Sales came in Friday UP 1.6%,</strong> with the supply dropping to 6 months, its lowest level since early 2006! The numbers of unsold new homes under construction and unsold completed new homes are also at or near record lows. <strong>The FHFA price index for homes financed by conforming mortgages was down just 0.2% in October and is down only 2.8% versus a year ago.</strong><br />
<strong><br />
BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK</strong>&#8230;Start on a goal right away. Get the momentum going by taking action immediately&#8211;flesh out the schedule, reserve important dates, get delivery commitments from others.</em></p>
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